Proč v digitálním věku přestáváme myslet jako čtenáři
Digitální hluk vytlačuje tiché soustředění a vrací lidstvo z éry lineárního písma zpět do ukřičené kmenové orality.
Read on Substack Interactive analyses of geopolitics, economics, and technology risks
A map for a world that stopped making sense
I look for structure in the chaos of polycrisis. I build interactive analyses at the intersection of megatrends, geopolitical risks, and global bottlenecks — from AI to supply chains to the future of Europe. Not to make the world look simpler. But to make it possible to decide.
New analyses, commentary, and context. For people who don't just want to follow headlines, but understand what they mean.
Analyses
Not opinions. Orientation.
Each analysis connects data, scenarios, and visual logic. Not to impress. But to think with.
Czech Regional Prosperity Index
49 indicators, 206 regions. Interactive analysis: what drives quality of life in Czech cities and how it shapes elections.
In Orlová, one in eight faces foreclosure. 37 km away, four times fewer.
Open analysis
Journey of Diesel: From Well to Pump
Interactive anatomy of Czech diesel prices during the Hormuz crisis. From extraction through refining and margins to government measures — how much of each crown goes where and why.
The price at the pump isn't just a number. It's a story of oil, refineries, and political decisions.
Open analysis
Hormuz demand destruction estimate
An interactive simulator that walks you step by step through how much energy the world would lose if the Strait of Hormuz were blocked — and how much the safety nets would save.
Even after all mitigations, the impact exceeds the oil shocks of the 1970s.
Open simulator
Why repairing Qatar will take years
Iranian missiles didn't just hit buildings — they destroyed cryogenic machines made by only five companies on earth. An analysis of three bottlenecks, cascading impacts on helium and semiconductors, and repair scenarios.
Markets priced the energy shock. They haven't priced the engineering shock.
Open analysisNot another commentary. A tool you'll come back to in a month.
Scenarios, not impressions
I don't just tell you what happened. I show what could happen next.
Data with structure
Charts and maps aren't decoration. They're arguments you can see.
Real-world impact
From geopolitics through supply chains to the Czech economy and corporate decision-making.
What recently went out to subscribers
From recent issues
Cesta nafty: co se skutečně skrývá za cenou na pumpě
Cena motorové nafty na českých čerpacích stanicích vyskočila od konce února do začátku dubna o patnáct korun na litru.
Read on Substack
Evropa mezi cizí strategií a vlastním chaosem
Ať už Trump sleduje plán, nebo jen improvizuje, Evropa naráží hlavně na cenu vlastní nepřipravenosti.
Read on Substack
Odhad destrukce globální poptávky způsobené energetickou krizí
Proč by blokáda Hormuzu bolela víc než ropné šoky sedmdesátých let. A jak se to týká i nás
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Kaskáda, kterou nikdo nečekal (Fyzické limity 2/2)
Útok na katarskou plynofikační linku neochromil jen energetiku, ale vypustil helium z plic globálního čipového průmyslu.
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Stroje, které nelze vyrobit rychle (Fyzické limity 1/2)
Íránské rakety v Kataru nezničily jen plyn, ale ochromily fyzickou podstatu globální moci na celé roky.
Read on Substack
About me
Chief Economist at Ceska sporitelna (Erste Group) and Head of Strategic Research & Insight.
I'm Chief Economist at Ceska sporitelna and lead the Strategic Research & Insight team. I focus on how the economy changes under pressure from technology, geopolitics, demographics, and institutions.
I don't write to add another opinion to the cycle. I'm interested in where reality breaks: in supply chains, energy prices, investor psychology, and how states and companies respond to uncertainty.
That's why, beyond writing, I build interactive analyses. Some things can only be understood when you can move the pieces yourself.
Chief Economist, Ceska sporitelna (Erste Group) · Regular media commentator (Czech TV, CNN Prima, HN)
Speaking
Talks that build the picture, not summarize the headlines
For companies, conferences, and leadership teams, I prepare keynotes, discussions, and workshops on macroeconomics, geopolitics, AI, and the future of business.
Geopolitical risks for businesses
AI and the future of work
What the end of cheap globalization means for Europe
50+ talks per year
15+ years in media
Let's collaborate
Need a tailored analysis, interactive tool, or a keynote? Get in touch.