Starý řád neumírá potichu
Když starý svět ztrácí samozřejmost, společnost má dvě možnosti: hledat příčiny, nebo zapalovat hranice.
Read on Substack Interactive analyses of geopolitics, economics, and technology risks
A map for a world that stopped making sense
I look for structure in the chaos of polycrisis. I build interactive analyses at the intersection of megatrends, geopolitical risks, and global bottlenecks — from AI to supply chains to the future of Europe. Not to make the world look simpler. But to make it possible to decide.
New analyses, commentary, and context. For people who don't just want to follow headlines, but understand what they mean.
Analyses
Not opinions. Orientation.
Each analysis connects data, scenarios, and visual logic. Not to impress. But to think with.
Opportunity vs. Threat: How the Brain Switches Under Pressure
The same situation can trigger performance mobilization or defensive rigidity. An interactive analysis of the neurobiology, physiology, and cognitive consequences of challenge/threat framing — backed by meta-analytic data.
The difference between challenge and threat isn’t in the situation. It’s in the mind.
Open analysis
Czech Regional Prosperity Index
49 indicators, 206 regions. Interactive analysis: what drives quality of life in Czech cities and how it shapes elections.
In Orlová, one in eight faces foreclosure. 37 km away, four times fewer.
Open analysis
Journey of Diesel: From Well to Pump
Interactive anatomy of Czech diesel prices during the Hormuz crisis. From extraction through refining and margins to government measures — how much of each crown goes where and why.
The price at the pump isn't just a number. It's a story of oil, refineries, and political decisions.
Open analysis
Hormuz demand destruction estimate
An interactive simulator that walks you step by step through how much energy the world would lose if the Strait of Hormuz were blocked — and how much the safety nets would save.
Even after all mitigations, the impact exceeds the oil shocks of the 1970s.
Open simulatorNot another commentary. A tool you'll come back to in a month.
Scenarios, not impressions
I don't just tell you what happened. I show what could happen next.
Data with structure
Charts and maps aren't decoration. They're arguments you can see.
Real-world impact
From geopolitics through supply chains to the Czech economy and corporate decision-making.
What recently went out to subscribers
From recent issues
Znárodnění je zpátky. Tentokrát ho nežene ideologie, ale strach.
Vlády znovu sahají po firmách, dolech, sítích a surovinách. Ne proto, že by se svět vracel k plánované ekonomice, ale protože bezpečnost, energie a geopolitika…
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Férovost se nechrání bolestí, ale pravidly (Morálka zkratek 2/2)
Férovost není ničena nástroji a zkratkami, ale lží o tom, v jaké hře je používáme
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Horko se nám dostává pod kůži. A pak do hlavy.
Naše tělo si musí každou minutu udržet úzké teplotní pásmo, aby mohlo myslet, pracovat, spát a rozhodovat se.
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Když to nebolelo, nepočítá se to (Morálka zkratek 1/2)
Někdo napíše pracovní analýzu s pomocí umělé inteligence.
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Jste potřeba: co Kurt Hahn věděl o odolnosti, prosperitě a výchově pro svět plný překážek
Odolnost se neučí kázáním o charakteru, ale chvílí, kdy mladý člověk zjistí, že je opravdu potřeba.
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Když globalizace zaroste
Blokáda Hormuzu nezastavila jen obchod. Nechala globalizaci pomalu zarůstat.
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Škola pro labyrint 2/2: Komenský pro věk umělé inteligence
Knihtisk zlevnil šíření myšlenek, umělá inteligence zlevňuje jejich výrobu. A právě proto znovu potřebujeme Komenského.
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Metakognice jako filtr produktivity: kdo skutečně těží z generativní AI?
Generativní AI slibuje revoluci v kreativitě, její skutečný potenciál však odemknou pouze ti zaměstnanci, kteří ovládnou metakognici: umění strategicky řídit vl…
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About me
Chief Economist at Ceska sporitelna (Erste Group) and Head of Strategic Research & Insight.
I'm Chief Economist at Ceska sporitelna and lead the Strategic Research & Insight team. I focus on how the economy changes under pressure from technology, geopolitics, demographics, and institutions.
I don't write to add another opinion to the cycle. I'm interested in where reality breaks: in supply chains, energy prices, investor psychology, and how states and companies respond to uncertainty.
That's why, beyond writing, I build interactive analyses. Some things can only be understood when you can move the pieces yourself.
Chief Economist, Ceska sporitelna (Erste Group) · Regular media commentator (Czech TV, CNN Prima, HN)
Speaking
Talks that build the picture, not summarize the headlines
For companies, conferences, and leadership teams, I prepare keynotes, discussions, and workshops on macroeconomics, geopolitics, AI, and the future of business.
Geopolitical risks for businesses
AI and the future of work
What the end of cheap globalization means for Europe
50+ talks per year
15+ years in media
Let's collaborate
Need a tailored analysis, interactive tool, or a keynote? Get in touch.